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NEWS
Issue #2001 - 13 (Mar. 2001)

(Updated on Mar. 28, 2001)

MARKET OUTLOOK

European Mobile Internet Valued at $71-Billion, says Study

Despite the focus on the $71-billion spent on UMTS (Universal Mobile Telecommunications System or 3G) licenses and the, subsequent, economic challenges now facing many European operators, a recently published study says that the billions paid for licenses will not hinder the development of the mobile Internet.

The report was a collaborative effort by British tech investment group Durlacher, Finnish venture capital firm Eqvitec, and the Helsinki University of Technology. The report, ‘UMTS: An Investment Perspective’ was based on interviews with industry players in Japan and Europe, with a focus on Finnish, Swedish, German, and British firms.

Highlight of Findings

  • European market for mobile Internet services, including mobile data traffic, will be worth $71-billion by 2005, on condition that UMTS handsets and services are available by early in 2003.
  • The entire non-voice service market will continue to grow at an annual rate of 72 percent.
  • The high cost of licensing fees should be incorporated into the business models.
  • To recoup UMTS licensing and infrastructure costs, operators will be encouraged to generate revenue by way of the following:
  • Pushing more advanced, revenue generating services to market. The authors foresee over 3,000 mobile applications running over wireless networks within the next five years.
  • Promoting the service provider business model. Operators are encouraged to act as wholesalers to Virtual Operators (VO) in an effort to quickly penetrate the market. VOs will be built around strong brands from telecommunications, retail, media, and financial and automotive industries.
  • Believing in WAP. Despite its initial difficulties, analysts see the success of WAP will lie primarily in the GPRS presentation layer for more phone-centric devices. PDAs, in contrast, will no longer be connected by WAP but via a conventional HTML-browser.

The basic thrust of the report is to encourage operators to shift their strategy towards maximizing revenues and profitability during 2001. To generate new revenue they are advised to use multiple distribution channels to market and push services to customers directly and via VOs.

‘UMTS Report: An Investment Perspective’ examines the current mobile market, new mobile business models, the impact of technology, and mobile applications and services.

For more information: http://www.durlacher.co.uk/research/res-reports.asp

Mobileinfo Comments and Advisory:  Lot has been written about 3G. This is yet another report. We have concerns about reports which rely heavily on interviewing interested vendors who have already made financial  commitments in 3G.  It is unlikely that they will admit that they were off-base in their previous decisions. Consumers, enterprises and applications will make the final determination. Our educated guess is that 3G will happen with definite delays.  

Note: This news release may contain forward-looking statements. Readers should take appropriate caution in developing plans utilizing these products, services and technology architectures.

All trademarks used in this summary are the property of their respective owners.


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