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News
Issue #2002 - 24
(June 2002)
(Updated June
26, 2002)
TECHNOLOGY
Five Visionaries Speak Out on the
Future of Wireless Tech
After years of excess,
everything from high stock-prices to high priced licensing fees, the
wireless industry has now taken on the demeanor of conservative
middle age – fretting over balance sheets and investors’
interests. But lurking in the background are the visionaries, those
individuals who are not afraid to dream or talk about their
fantasies. Recently, ‘Forbes’ interviewed five, lets call them
‘creative thinkers,’ who were asked, "Where is wireless
technology headed in the next quarter century?"
Highlights From What They Had to Say
Andrew M. Seybold, editor in chief of the Forbes/Andrew Seybold’s
Wireless Outlook newsletter, said, "In 25 years there aren’t
going to be any wired phones left and I think it might happen even
much sooner than that — ten to 15 years. I also think phone
numbers will go away" . . . and "the person will be the
number." . . .These units will allow you "access to huge
back-end databases for day-to-day access to any kind of
information."
Rod Adkins, general manager, pervasive computing division,
IBM, said he would like to see personal handsets capable of
transmitting 3G images, by introducing the concept of a hologram.
"You would see a hologramic image of the person you’re
speaking to," he said, "and see them in full view "—
their every gesture and every facial expression.
While others place their faith in the wireless handset, Larry
Smarr, professor of computer science, University of San Diego,
believes that that "piece of hardware will have vanished long
before 25 years have passed." He goes on to say, "Instead,
you’ll have an interface with the Internet that is totally
integrated with the body. There might, for example, be a little
laser that writes directly to the retina so that everything in the
world will become augmented reality" – in essence everything
you touch will have its own cyber-reality.
He then describes how "all your body’s vital functions
will be read out and transmitted directly onto the Internet to some
sort of secure private medical agent that is monitoring your body
for trouble."
Expanding on Smarr’s vision is best-selling science fiction
writer Arthur C. Clarke with his concept of the "brain
cap." "This cap would be put on your head," he says,
allowing "the impressions, sights, everything, to go directly
into the brain." But he admits that it "may turn us all
into permanent couch potatoes because we then need not travel
anywhere. We can experience anything, learn anything . . . just
lying on the couch."
While making highly advanced wireless handsets ubiquitous and
integrating highly sophisticated technologies with our bodies are
fascinating ideas, Martin Cooper, chairman and CEO,
ArrayComm, and former Motorola engineer credited with designing the
first cellular phone for that company, believes that the industry
must get its priorities straight. He offers this advice to all
players: "This industry has gotten caught up with letting
technology lead it. In every other industry, people identify a
social need and then ask how they can make a product to meet that
need. What you end up with are useful things. In our industry,
people start with a technology and then go looking for an
application."
(Based on the Forbes article "Wireless: The Next Quarter
Century")
MobileInfo.com’s Comments & Advisory:
What these visionaries and future thinkers are telling us is that
future for wireless industry is bright. Therefore all those who are dis-heartened
by current economic climate, 3G problems and challenges in wireless
computing should take note. We like Martin Cooper's comments more than
anything else. we should always ask - how is this product or technology
going to help me or my business do a better job, add value or contribute to
my pleasure or convenience.
Note: This news release may contain forward-looking statements. Readers should take appropriate caution in
developing plans utilizing these products, services and technology
architectures. All trademarks used in this summary are
the property of their respective owners.
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